Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 13.111352 15.343333 17.780457 20.631339 23.866528 27.415373 31.594228
2025-03-30 9.843782 13.011005 16.830041 21.733672 27.818083 35.071835 44.321223
2025-04-06 7.319791 10.707736 15.138726 21.266548 29.415211 39.761361 53.754081
2025-04-13 5.461541 8.749852 13.370459 20.183322 29.788506 42.636380 60.864900
2025-04-20 4.740442 8.182635 13.308742 21.261451 32.996866 49.334711 73.370368
2025-04-27 4.252943 7.846608 13.479845 22.614284 36.630167 56.813579 87.419865
2025-05-04 3.671806 7.236911 13.113700 23.059125 38.898446 62.446304 99.178897
2025-05-11 3.104536 6.535100 12.477598 22.960637 40.263476 66.776831 109.249935
2025-05-18 2.591712 5.827247 11.714042 22.528657 41.004693 70.144807 118.015430
2025-05-25 2.174459 5.216212 11.021023 22.107905 41.677806 73.390259 126.720801
2025-06-01 1.826738 4.673198 10.366080 21.656922 42.220441 76.410718 135.190643
2025-06-08 1.462568 4.015391 9.387565 20.481311 41.366495 77.040418 139.795329
2025-06-15 1.324327 3.859402 9.425894 21.310111 44.296465 84.424774 156.329074
2025-06-22 1.204562 3.727518 9.506844 22.256456 47.574999 92.716585 175.050299
2025-06-29 0.993375 3.311746 8.905330 21.744792 48.059795 96.168813 185.770550
2025-07-06 0.783047 2.835515 8.076914 20.634225 47.252077 97.220006 192.348393
2025-07-13 0.729540 2.791943 8.260056 21.731674 50.915400 106.637426 214.213534
2025-07-20 0.694162 2.794438 8.555596 23.109812 55.255967 117.564132 239.347912
2025-07-27 0.619149 2.650431 8.454835 23.562956 57.705632 125.062562 258.626072
2025-08-03 0.531920 2.438511 8.137621 23.462612 58.963116 130.338741 274.066616
2025-08-10 0.445964 2.201214 7.705565 23.022516 59.431333 134.082941 286.808448
2025-08-17 0.373848 1.988729 7.301453 22.593838 59.873324 137.780730 299.626787
2025-08-24 0.312208 1.793283 6.907518 22.134336 60.192496 141.230446 312.118931